Thursday, January 24, 2013

Probability vs Odds


Probability:

Probability is defined as the possibility of occurring the events in random. Probability is given by the ratio favorable outcome to the possible outcome.

Probability = `n/N`

Where

n = Number Of favorable outcome

N = Number of possible outcome

Odds

Odds is a part of probability, which is defined as the ratio of probability of events favorable outcome to the probability of unfavorable outcome.

Odds = `P/(1-P)`

Where

P= Probability

Odds is also given by

Number Of favorable outcome
Odds = --------------------------------------
Number of unfavorable outcome

Let us see the problems for probability and odds calculate in detailed clear explanation.
Example Problems for Probability Vs Odds

Problem for probability vs odds:

When dice are thrown random calculate the probability and odds value if the event occurred is 1, 4.

Solution:

Total number of events in a dice, N = 6

Number of events occurring 1, 4 in a dice, n = 2

Therefore number of favorable outcome = 2

Number of unfavorable outcome = 6-2 = 4

Probability = `n/N`

= `2/6`

Probability = `1/3`

Number Of favorable outcome
Odds= ----------------------------------------
Number of unfavorable outcome

=` 2/4`

Odds=`1/2`

Problem for probability vs odds:

When dice are thrown random, calculate the probability and odds value if the event occurred is not prime number.

Solution:

Total number of events in a dice, N = 6

Number of events occurring even numbers in a dice is not prime number = 2

Therefore number of favorable outcome = 2

Number of unfavorable outcome = 6-2 = 4

Probability = `n/N`

=`2/6`

Probability = `1/3`

Number Of favorable outcome
Odds=  ----------------------------------------
Number of unfavorable outcome

= `2/4`

Odds = `1/2`

Problem for probability vs odds:

Calculate the odds if the probability of event occurring is 1/15

Solution:

Given, probability, P = `1/15`

The relation between even and odds is given in the formula,

Odds = `P/(1-P)`

= `(1/15)/(1-(1/15))`

= `( 1/15)/(14/15)`

= `(1/5)*(15/14)`

Odds = `1/14`

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